Hey there Frank. Wouldn't wanna tempt fate or make myself a hostage to fortune, or even lay myself wide open to the charge of hubris, but I've never had a 'giant' air layer fail on me. I repeat - never.
Having said that, I'm the first to admit there's always a first time, and this is almost certainly the biggest air layer I've ever attempted, so the opportunities for ending up with egg on my face are many, rich and varied. Time will tell if I have over-reached myself this time, but basically, I had very little choice in the matter. This garden is about to change hands (along with the house that is attached to it), and I'm layering a tree that will very soon no longer be ours, so I had to make the best of limited time and opportunity. If it fails, at least I'll know the limits of what is possible. To date, I've managed to layer 4 years' growth, so this is at least 50% bigger than anything I've previously attempted.
I'm also speculatively layering a bay-leaf bush, and a plum tree that produces fruit that looks like a very large cherry (also the subject of another thread). I have no idea if they will 'take', but figure it's worth trying anyway just in case. The potential reward will be so much greater than any disappointment arising from their failure. If I only get 1 out of the 3, I'll be a happy bunny. Set my expectations deliberately low so I won't be too disappointed.
Anyway, I'm touched by the level of interest shown thus far in this thread, and thank you also for your kind words about my original thread on the subject. High praise indeed.